Titre :

Impacts of Immigration on an Ageing Welfare State: An Applied General Equilibrium Model for France

Auteur(s) :

Chojnicki, Xavier [Auteur]
Economie Quantitative, Intégration, Politiques Publiques et Econométrie [EQUIPPE]
Lille économie management - UMR 9221 [LEM]
Ragot, Lionel [Auteur]
EconomiX [EconomiX]

Titre de la revue :

Fiscal Studies

Pagination :

258--284

Éditeur :

Wiley [1979-....]

Date de publication :

2016

ISSN :

0143-5671

Mot(s)-clé(s) en anglais :

migration
applied general equilibrium model (AGEM)
overlapping generations
ageing
public finance
social protection
C68
D58
E60
H55
H68
J61

Discipline(s) HAL :

Sciences de l'Homme et Société/Economies et finances

Résumé en anglais : [en]

Immigration is often seen as an instrument of adaptation for ageing countries. In this paper, we evaluate, using a dynamic general equilibrium model, the contribution of migration policy in reducing the tax burden associated ...
Lire la suite >Immigration is often seen as an instrument of adaptation for ageing countries. In this paper, we evaluate, using a dynamic general equilibrium model, the contribution of migration policy in reducing the tax burden associated with the ageing population in France. Four alternative scenarios, compared with a baseline scenario based on official projections, are simulated with the aim of quantifying the effects of immigration on French social protection finances. We show that the age and, to a lesser extent, the skill structure of immigrants are the key features that mainly determine the effects on social protection finances. Overall, these effects are all the more positive in the short to medium term if the migration policy is selective (in favour of more skilled workers). In the long term, the beneficial effects of a selective policy may disappear. But whatever the degree of selectivity of the migration policy, the financial gains from higher consequent migration flows are relatively moderate compared with the demographic changes implied by ageing.Lire moins >

Langue :

Anglais

Vulgarisation :

Non

Collections :

• Lille Économie Management (LEM) - UMR 9221

Source :

Harvested from HAL