Future vulnerability of marine biodiversity compared with contemporary and past changes.

Beaugrand, Grégory; Edwards, Martin; Raybaud, Virginie; Goberville, Eric; Kirby, Richard R

Document type :

Compte-rendu et recension critique d'ouvrage

Title :

Future vulnerability of marine biodiversity compared with contemporary and past changes.

Author(s) :

Beaugrand, Grégory [Auteur]

Laboratoire d’Océanologie et de Géosciences (LOG) - UMR 8187 [LOG]
Edwards, Martin [Auteur]
Raybaud, Virginie [Auteur]
Laboratoire d’Océanologie et de Géosciences (LOG) - UMR 8187 [LOG]
Goberville, Eric [Auteur]
Laboratoire d’Océanologie et de Géosciences (LOG) - UMR 8187 [LOG]
Kirby, Richard R [Auteur]

Journal title :

Nature Climate Change

Pages :

695-701

Publisher :

Nature Publishing Group

Publication date :

2015

ISSN :

1758-678X

HAL domain(s) :

Planète et Univers [physics]/Sciences de la Terre/Océanographie

English abstract : [en]

Many studies have implied significant effects of global climate change on marine life. Setting these alterations into the context of historical natural change has not been attempted so far, however. Here, using a theoretical ...
Show more >Many studies have implied significant effects of global climate change on marine life. Setting these alterations into the context of historical natural change has not been attempted so far, however. Here, using a theoretical framework, we estimate the sensitivity of marine pelagic biodiversity to temperature change and evaluate its past (mid-Pliocene and Last Glacial Maximum (LGM)), contemporaneous (1960–2013) and future (2081–2100; 4 scenarios of warming) vulnerability. Our biodiversity reconstructions were highly correlated to real data for several pelagic taxa for the contemporary and the past (LGM and mid-Pliocene) periods. Our results indicate that local species loss will be a prominent phenomenon of climate warming in permanently stratified regions, and that local species invasion will prevail in temperate and polar biomes under all climate change scenarios. Although a small amount of warming under the RCP2.6 scenario is expected to have a minor influence on marine pelagic biodiversity, moderate warming (RCP4.5) will increase by threefold the changes already observed over the past 50 years. Of most concern is that severe warming (RCP6.0 and 8.5) will affect marine pelagic biodiversity to a greater extent than temperature changes that took place between either the LGM or the mid-Pliocene and today, over an area of between 50 (RCP6.0: 46.9–52.4%) and 70% (RCP8.5: 69.4–73.4%) of the global ocean.Show less >

Language :

Anglais

Popular science :

Non

Collections :

Laboratoire d'Océanologie et de Géosciences (LOG) - UMR 8187

Source :

Harvested from HAL

Future vulnerability of marine biodiversity ... BibTeX CSV Excel RIS

Future vulnerability of marine biodiversity ...

BibTeX

CSV

Excel

RIS