The rural exodus and the rise of Europe
Document type :
Compte-rendu et recension critique d'ouvrage
Title :
The rural exodus and the rise of Europe
Author(s) :
Journal title :
Journal of Economic Growth
Publisher :
Springer Verlag
Publication date :
2022-05-02
ISSN :
1381-4338
English keyword(s) :
Demographic transition
Industrialization
Rural exodus
Mortality differentials
Fertility differentials
Industrialization
Rural exodus
Mortality differentials
Fertility differentials
HAL domain(s) :
Sciences de l'Homme et Société/Economies et finances
English abstract : [en]
We build a unified model of growth and internal migration and identify its deep parameters using an original set of Swedish data. Our structural estimation and counterfactual experiments suggest that conditions of migration ...
Show more >We build a unified model of growth and internal migration and identify its deep parameters using an original set of Swedish data. Our structural estimation and counterfactual experiments suggest that conditions of migration between the countryside and cities have strongly shaped the timing and the intensity of the transition to growth. Mobility cost had to be low enough to enable population movement. Furthermore, initial productivity in rural industries had to be moderate to sustain the first phase of industrialization appearing in the countryside without delaying too much the second phase of industrialization taking place in cities. More than the initial productivity of rural industries or migration costs alone, what truly mattered for the transition to modern economic growth was the interplay between these two elements. By contrast, we evidence a poor role for mortality decline in the whole process. Finally, we discuss why our conclusions on Sweden are exemplary for the rest of Western Europe.Show less >
Show more >We build a unified model of growth and internal migration and identify its deep parameters using an original set of Swedish data. Our structural estimation and counterfactual experiments suggest that conditions of migration between the countryside and cities have strongly shaped the timing and the intensity of the transition to growth. Mobility cost had to be low enough to enable population movement. Furthermore, initial productivity in rural industries had to be moderate to sustain the first phase of industrialization appearing in the countryside without delaying too much the second phase of industrialization taking place in cities. More than the initial productivity of rural industries or migration costs alone, what truly mattered for the transition to modern economic growth was the interplay between these two elements. By contrast, we evidence a poor role for mortality decline in the whole process. Finally, we discuss why our conclusions on Sweden are exemplary for the rest of Western Europe.Show less >
Language :
Anglais
Popular science :
Non
ANR Project :
Collections :
Source :
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