A Momentary Lapse of Reason? Assessing the ...
Document type :
Compte-rendu et recension critique d'ouvrage
Title :
A Momentary Lapse of Reason? Assessing the Pre- and Post-Brexit Preferences of UK Citizens
Author(s) :
Hayat, Muhammad Azmat [Auteur]
Siddique, Ifrah [Auteur]
Farvaque, Etienne [Auteur]
Lille économie management - UMR 9221 [LEM]
Siddique, Ifrah [Auteur]
Farvaque, Etienne [Auteur]
Lille économie management - UMR 9221 [LEM]
Journal title :
Journal of Economic Integration
Pages :
372-408
Publisher :
Center for Economic Integration, Sejong Institution, Sejong University
Publication date :
2021-09-15
ISSN :
1225-651X
HAL domain(s) :
Sciences de l'Homme et Société/Economies et finances
English abstract : [en]
We analyze the persistence of the major determinants of distrust toward the European Union (EU) and pro-Brexit voting attitudes of citizens of the United Kingdom. Looking both backward and forward, our analysis confirms ...
Show more >We analyze the persistence of the major determinants of distrust toward the European Union (EU) and pro-Brexit voting attitudes of citizens of the United Kingdom. Looking both backward and forward, our analysis confirms that Euroscepticism is deep-rooted, although the data reveal differences across different parts of the country. We observe no major transformation in the favor of the EU over the last two decades or in the post-referendum period. We also carry out an age-period-cohort analysis by interacting age and cohort effects with time to analyze the evolution of individual preferences. We find that an aging population will promote Eurosceptic assertiveness. We then implement a demographic forecasting analysis to predict whether the level of distrust of older cohorts can be offset by differing attitudes among younger cohorts in the future. On the contrary, we find that demographic trends will tend to strengthen distrust in the EU.Show less >
Show more >We analyze the persistence of the major determinants of distrust toward the European Union (EU) and pro-Brexit voting attitudes of citizens of the United Kingdom. Looking both backward and forward, our analysis confirms that Euroscepticism is deep-rooted, although the data reveal differences across different parts of the country. We observe no major transformation in the favor of the EU over the last two decades or in the post-referendum period. We also carry out an age-period-cohort analysis by interacting age and cohort effects with time to analyze the evolution of individual preferences. We find that an aging population will promote Eurosceptic assertiveness. We then implement a demographic forecasting analysis to predict whether the level of distrust of older cohorts can be offset by differing attitudes among younger cohorts in the future. On the contrary, we find that demographic trends will tend to strengthen distrust in the EU.Show less >
Language :
Anglais
Popular science :
Non
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