A simple score to predict early death after ...
Document type :
Article dans une revue scientifique: Article original
DOI :
PMID :
Title :
A simple score to predict early death after kidney transplantation
Author(s) :
Bamoulid, Jamal [Auteur]
Service de Néphrologie [CHRU Besançon]
Interactions hôte-greffon-tumeur, ingénierie cellulaire et génique - UFC (UMR INSERM 1098) [RIGHT]
Frimat, Marie [Auteur]
Facteurs de Risque et Déterminants Moléculaires des Maladies liées au Vieillissement - U 1167 [RID-AGE]
Lille Inflammation Research International Center - U 995 [LIRIC]
Courivaud, Cecile [Auteur]
Service de Néphrologie [CHRU Besançon]
Interactions hôte-greffon-tumeur, ingénierie cellulaire et génique - UFC (UMR INSERM 1098) [RIGHT]
Crepin, Thomas [Auteur]
Service de Néphrologie [CHRU Besançon]
Interactions hôte-greffon-tumeur, ingénierie cellulaire et génique - UFC (UMR INSERM 1098) [RIGHT]
Gaiffe, Emilie [Auteur]
Interactions hôte-greffon-tumeur, ingénierie cellulaire et génique - UFC (UMR INSERM 1098) [RIGHT]
Hazzan, Marc [Auteur]
Lille Inflammation Research International Center - U 995 [LIRIC]
Service de Néphrologie et Transplantation rénale [CHRU-lille]
Ducloux, Didier [Auteur]
Service de Néphrologie [CHRU Besançon]
Interactions hôte-greffon-tumeur, ingénierie cellulaire et génique - UFC (UMR INSERM 1098) [RIGHT]
Service de Néphrologie [CHRU Besançon]
Interactions hôte-greffon-tumeur, ingénierie cellulaire et génique - UFC (UMR INSERM 1098) [RIGHT]
Frimat, Marie [Auteur]
Facteurs de Risque et Déterminants Moléculaires des Maladies liées au Vieillissement - U 1167 [RID-AGE]
Lille Inflammation Research International Center - U 995 [LIRIC]
Courivaud, Cecile [Auteur]
Service de Néphrologie [CHRU Besançon]
Interactions hôte-greffon-tumeur, ingénierie cellulaire et génique - UFC (UMR INSERM 1098) [RIGHT]
Crepin, Thomas [Auteur]
Service de Néphrologie [CHRU Besançon]
Interactions hôte-greffon-tumeur, ingénierie cellulaire et génique - UFC (UMR INSERM 1098) [RIGHT]
Gaiffe, Emilie [Auteur]
Interactions hôte-greffon-tumeur, ingénierie cellulaire et génique - UFC (UMR INSERM 1098) [RIGHT]
Hazzan, Marc [Auteur]
Lille Inflammation Research International Center - U 995 [LIRIC]
Service de Néphrologie et Transplantation rénale [CHRU-lille]
Ducloux, Didier [Auteur]
Service de Néphrologie [CHRU Besançon]
Interactions hôte-greffon-tumeur, ingénierie cellulaire et génique - UFC (UMR INSERM 1098) [RIGHT]
Journal title :
European Journal of Clinical Investigation
Pages :
e13312
Publisher :
Wiley
Publication date :
2020-06-13
ISSN :
0014-2972
Keyword(s) :
kidney transplantation
score
survival
score
survival
HAL domain(s) :
Sciences du Vivant [q-bio]
English abstract : [en]
BACKGROUND: Few studies have focused on risk stratification for premature death after transplantation. However, stratification of individual risk is an essential step in personalized care.METHODS: We have developed a risk ...
Show more >BACKGROUND: Few studies have focused on risk stratification for premature death after transplantation. However, stratification of individual risk is an essential step in personalized care.METHODS: We have developed a risk score of early post-transplant death (ORLY score) in a prospective multicentre cohort including 942 patients and validated our model in a retrospective independent replication cohort including 874 patients.RESULTS: 60 patients (6.4%) from the prospective cohort died during the first three-year post-transplant. Age, male gender, diabetes, dialysis duration and chronic respiratory failure were associated with early post-transplant death. The multivariable model exhibited good discrimination ability (C-index = 0.78, 95%CI [0.75-0.81]). ORLY score highly predicted early death after transplantation (1.34; 95%CI, 1.22 to 1.48 for each increase of 1 point in score; P < .001). The predictive value of the score in the validation cohort was close to that observed in the experimental cohort (1.41; 95%CI, 1.27 to 1.56 for each increase of 1 point in score; P < .001). Merging the two cohorts, four categories of risk could be individualized: low, 0-5 (n = 522, mean risk, 1%); intermediate, 6-7 (n = 739, mean risk 4.7%); moderate, 8-10 (n = 429, mean risk 10%); and high risk 11-15 (n = 132, mean risk 19%).CONCLUSIONS: The ORLY score discriminates patients with high risk of early death.Show less >
Show more >BACKGROUND: Few studies have focused on risk stratification for premature death after transplantation. However, stratification of individual risk is an essential step in personalized care.METHODS: We have developed a risk score of early post-transplant death (ORLY score) in a prospective multicentre cohort including 942 patients and validated our model in a retrospective independent replication cohort including 874 patients.RESULTS: 60 patients (6.4%) from the prospective cohort died during the first three-year post-transplant. Age, male gender, diabetes, dialysis duration and chronic respiratory failure were associated with early post-transplant death. The multivariable model exhibited good discrimination ability (C-index = 0.78, 95%CI [0.75-0.81]). ORLY score highly predicted early death after transplantation (1.34; 95%CI, 1.22 to 1.48 for each increase of 1 point in score; P < .001). The predictive value of the score in the validation cohort was close to that observed in the experimental cohort (1.41; 95%CI, 1.27 to 1.56 for each increase of 1 point in score; P < .001). Merging the two cohorts, four categories of risk could be individualized: low, 0-5 (n = 522, mean risk, 1%); intermediate, 6-7 (n = 739, mean risk 4.7%); moderate, 8-10 (n = 429, mean risk 10%); and high risk 11-15 (n = 132, mean risk 19%).CONCLUSIONS: The ORLY score discriminates patients with high risk of early death.Show less >
Language :
Anglais
Peer reviewed article :
Oui
Audience :
Internationale
Popular science :
Non
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