Dynamic Ranking with the BTL Model: A ...
Document type :
Article dans une revue scientifique: Article original
Title :
Dynamic Ranking with the BTL Model: A Nearest Neighbor based Rank Centrality Method
Author(s) :
Karlé, Eglantine [Auteur]
MOdel for Data Analysis and Learning [MODAL]
Inria Lille - Nord Europe
Tyagi, Hemant [Auteur]
MOdel for Data Analysis and Learning [MODAL]
Inria Lille - Nord Europe
MOdel for Data Analysis and Learning [MODAL]
Inria Lille - Nord Europe
Tyagi, Hemant [Auteur]
MOdel for Data Analysis and Learning [MODAL]
Inria Lille - Nord Europe
Journal title :
Journal of Machine Learning Research
Pages :
1--57
Publisher :
Microtome Publishing
Publication date :
2023-09-23
ISSN :
1532-4435
HAL domain(s) :
Mathématiques [math]
Statistiques [stat]
Statistiques [stat]
English abstract : [en]
Many applications such as recommendation systems or sports tournaments involve pairwise comparisons within a collection of n items, the goal being to aggregate the binary outcomes of the comparisons in order to recover the ...
Show more >Many applications such as recommendation systems or sports tournaments involve pairwise comparisons within a collection of n items, the goal being to aggregate the binary outcomes of the comparisons in order to recover the latent strength and/or global ranking of the items. In recent years, this problem has received significant interest from a theoretical perspective with a number of methods being proposed, along with associated statistical guarantees under the assumption of a suitable generative model. While these results typically collect the pairwise comparisons as one comparison graph G, however in many applications-such as the outcomes of soccer matches during a tournamentthe nature of pairwise outcomes can evolve with time. Theoretical results for such a dynamic setting are relatively limited compared to the aforementioned static setting. We study in this paper an extension of the classic BTL (Bradley-Terry-Luce) model for the static setting to our dynamic setup under the assumption that the probabilities of the pairwise outcomes evolve smoothly over the time domain [0, 1]. Given a sequence of comparison graphs (G_t')_{t' ∈T} on a regular grid T ⊂ [0, 1], we aim at recovering the latent strengths of the items w^*_t ∈ R^n at any time t ∈ [0, 1]. To this end, we adapt the Rank Centrality method-a popular spectral approach for ranking in the static case-by locally averaging the available data on a suitable neighborhood of t. When (G_t')_{t' ∈T} is a sequence of Erdös-Renyi graphs, we provide non-asymptotic l_2 and l_∞ error bounds for estimating w^*_t which in particular establishes the consistency of this method in terms of n, and the grid size |T |. We also complement our theoretical analysis with experiments on real and synthetic data.Show less >
Show more >Many applications such as recommendation systems or sports tournaments involve pairwise comparisons within a collection of n items, the goal being to aggregate the binary outcomes of the comparisons in order to recover the latent strength and/or global ranking of the items. In recent years, this problem has received significant interest from a theoretical perspective with a number of methods being proposed, along with associated statistical guarantees under the assumption of a suitable generative model. While these results typically collect the pairwise comparisons as one comparison graph G, however in many applications-such as the outcomes of soccer matches during a tournamentthe nature of pairwise outcomes can evolve with time. Theoretical results for such a dynamic setting are relatively limited compared to the aforementioned static setting. We study in this paper an extension of the classic BTL (Bradley-Terry-Luce) model for the static setting to our dynamic setup under the assumption that the probabilities of the pairwise outcomes evolve smoothly over the time domain [0, 1]. Given a sequence of comparison graphs (G_t')_{t' ∈T} on a regular grid T ⊂ [0, 1], we aim at recovering the latent strengths of the items w^*_t ∈ R^n at any time t ∈ [0, 1]. To this end, we adapt the Rank Centrality method-a popular spectral approach for ranking in the static case-by locally averaging the available data on a suitable neighborhood of t. When (G_t')_{t' ∈T} is a sequence of Erdös-Renyi graphs, we provide non-asymptotic l_2 and l_∞ error bounds for estimating w^*_t which in particular establishes the consistency of this method in terms of n, and the grid size |T |. We also complement our theoretical analysis with experiments on real and synthetic data.Show less >
Language :
Anglais
Peer reviewed article :
Oui
Audience :
Internationale
Popular science :
Non
Collections :
Source :
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